Nov 4, 2009 Comments Off
Cameron’s European Options
Charles Grant at the Centre for European Reform outlines four options for Tory leader David Cameron on Europe
One option would be to hold a referendum on the Lisbon treaty. But if the British people voted against a treaty that was already in force, they would probably have to leave the EU. So Conservative leaders have ruled this out.
A second option would be to hold a referendum on repatriating powers in certain defined areas, such as social policy. The referendum would precede an attempt to opt out of some parts of the EU treaties. In a variation of this option, a referendum would be held after, rather than before, the attempted renegotiation.
A third option would be to attempt to renegotiate the EU treaties without the aid of a referendum. But this option, like the second, would probably lead to an impasse. Having spent almost a decade negotiating the Lisbon treaty, Britain’s partners are unwilling to re-open the existing texts.
A fourth option would be to avoid trying to unpick the EU treaties. A Conservative government would instead urge its EU partners to make pledges in areas such as the budget, social policy and financial regulation. Conservative leaders could then tell Eurosceptics that that they had achieved ‘victories’ in the EU. Charles Grant, CER.
As Grant goes on to explain options 1, 2 and 3 can only lead to impasse which results in one of two things and embarrassing climb-down for Cameron or the UK completely withdrawing from the EU which leaves Cameron only sensible choice as option 4, which too many in his party won’t seem any different from current Labour policy.
I look forward to Cameron attempting to square the EU circle – particularly if against the odds he fails to win the forthcoming general election

Recent Comments